Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.330610 4.656401 5.006914 5.414187 5.877122 6.390255 7.006680
2025-08-10 3.783555 4.225258 4.731224 5.361706 6.138083 7.079400 8.334248
2025-08-17 3.400629 3.883873 4.458811 5.207523 6.179521 7.433975 9.240711
2025-08-24 3.147631 3.657066 4.281203 5.123002 6.264409 7.818433 10.218241
2025-08-31 3.008916 3.551573 4.234850 5.187831 6.536482 8.475748 11.703220
2025-09-07 2.869397 3.430055 4.151808 5.186767 6.705682 8.997319 13.084538
2025-09-14 2.686127 3.237469 3.957585 5.009410 6.591638 9.060163 13.689828
2025-09-21 2.547985 3.095185 3.819912 4.897645 6.558930 9.240269 14.541204
2025-09-28 2.441491 2.988489 3.722855 4.834451 6.590464 9.525228 15.662323
2025-10-05 2.374647 2.931228 3.689828 4.861264 6.764557 10.078531 17.502631
2025-10-12 2.329962 2.901321 3.692458 4.940292 7.030303 10.839262 20.088469
2025-10-19 2.293250 2.879970 3.705028 5.034018 7.329603 11.717492 23.365939
2025-10-26 2.229009 2.820285 3.663197 5.046807 7.505062 12.420034 26.685867
2025-11-02 2.152551 2.740156 3.587259 4.999645 7.569321 12.911111 29.738091
2025-11-09 2.059619 2.631864 3.462651 4.861636 7.446084 12.957761 31.325142
2025-11-16 1.988815 2.552883 3.378679 4.785870 7.433975 13.262461 34.145903
2025-11-23 1.954770 2.526285 3.373637 4.843991 7.691475 14.282089 40.995905
2025-11-30 1.909645 2.481075 3.336746 4.843038 7.828357 15.032897 47.657869
2025-12-07 1.832610 2.385195 3.215390 4.683918 7.617346 14.799778 48.663804
2025-12-14 1.772646 2.313203 3.129340 4.583464 7.522628 14.879220 51.840712
2025-12-21 1.725439 2.258954 3.069428 4.526602 7.516286 15.214209 57.363048
2025-12-28 1.697690 2.233316 3.054417 4.550733 7.690636 16.136201 69.495842
2026-01-04 1.680748 2.223506 3.064487 4.621811 7.979950 17.518823 91.171531